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Tommy Corbett and Donal Carey of Carey Corbett. Photograph by John Kelly

The vital role of cash flow modelling

The biggest impact on the success of a financial plan is cash flow and yet when we mention cash flow modelling to perspective clients their eyes can glaze over. Before embarking on any financial strategies, it’s essential to lay a solid foundation. Cash flow modelling is that bedrock.
Cash flow modelling stands as a cornerstone in the edifice of financial planning, offering a dynamic map to navigate the financial future.
In Ireland, where economic shifts and global trends can impact personal and business finances, understanding the intricacies of cash flow modelling becomes paramount. It’s a tool that transcends mere accounting, allowing individuals and businesses to visualize their financial trajectory, anticipate potential shortfalls, and seize opportunities for growth.
By incorporating various scenarios, cash flow modelling provides a detailed forecast, enabling informed decision-making that aligns with long-term financial goals.
Whether it’s for securing a comfortable retirement, expanding a business, or ensuring financial stability against unforeseen events, the role of cash flow modelling is indispensable in crafting a resilient financial strategy. It’s not just about tracking money in and out; it’s about sculpting a financial future with precision and foresight.
Recent data from the Central Bank of Ireland indicates that the net wealth of Irish households has increased significantly, with housing wealth being a major contributor to this rise.
This highlights the importance of incorporating assets like property into cash flow models to provide a more comprehensive financial outlook. Moreover, the private debt-to-GDP ratio has seen an increase, emphasizing the need for careful debt management within personal financial planning.
For businesses, a realistic cash flow forecast is crucial for managing financial health, especially for small enterprises seeking support through loans. It’s not just about tracking the money flowing in and out; it’s about understanding the financial trajectory of the business and making strategic decisions to ensure long-term viability and growth.
(For more detailed financial data and trends within Ireland, resources such as the Central Bank’s statistics portal offer valuable insights.)
Or look at this another way, Cash flow modelling is your financial sat nav. It provides clarity on your income, expenditures, liquid, and illiquid assets and shows you how they interact to facilitate the lifestyle you want to achieve.
Picture this: you’re on a road trip, and your GPS tells you about upcoming obstacles, alternative routes, and estimated arrival times. Cash flow modelling does the same for your finances. It empowers you to plan with confidence, make informed decisions, and navigate around potential financial roadblocks.
Common financial goals reflect both personal aspirations and practical necessities. Many individuals prioritize the funding of education for their children or grandchildren, recognizing the long-term benefits of investing in their future. This can be achieved through consistent savings, such as setting aside child benefit payments or utilizing the Small Gift Exemption to build an education fund.
Another prevalent goal is the establishment of an emergency fund, which serves as a financial safety net for unexpected life events, ensuring that individuals have readily accessible funds when needed.
Additionally, investing in oneself through further education or career development is a goal that aligns with personal growth and financial stability. For young adults, creating a budget and managing money effectively are essential steps towards achieving financial independence and security.
These goals, along with planning for retirement and navigating inheritance planning, form the cornerstone of a robust financial strategy that can adapt to Ireland’s dynamic economic landscape.

All real financial planners use cash flow modelling systems with their clients to show them various scenarios which will likely include the following:

  1. Will I have enough cash flow to live the life I want to live?
  2. What happens my cash flow if I am unable to work?
  3. What happens my families cash flow if I die unexpectedly?

When these bases are covered, we then move on the fun stuff which may include some of the following:

  • Can I afford to reduce my working hours?
  • Can I afford to buy a holiday home?
  • Can I afford to retire early and spend time travelling?
  • Can one of us take time out to raise our family?

Everyone’s financial journey is unique and as your planner, it is our job to break down the complexities, through clear communication, ensuring you have crystal-clear understanding of your financial roadmap which then directs you to what strategies you need to put in place to arrive at your destination.
To put in place a financial strategy without understanding your lifelong cash flows is just taking a stab in the dark and not to be recommended.
In conclusion, cash flow modelling is a critical aspect of personal finance in Ireland, helping individuals make informed decisions and prepare for the future. By utilizing this tool, one can ensure that their financial plan is robust, adaptable, and aligned with their life goals.
Whether for personal finance or business management, it provides a clear picture of financial futures, enabling proactive and strategic decision-making to achieve financial aspirations and stability.

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